Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.802692 2.158997 2.559383 3.041455 3.604900 4.241337 5.013361
2026-01-25 1.228915 1.659874 2.197643 2.913321 3.835490 4.977866 6.493570
2026-02-01 0.889833 1.330262 1.930070 2.796646 4.004531 5.614382 7.905100
2026-02-08 0.699146 1.140382 1.787676 2.789518 4.279599 6.387495 9.560689
2026-02-15 0.567500 1.000684 1.679459 2.795305 4.550760 7.163828 11.289571
2026-02-22 0.461647 0.875232 1.563919 2.760071 4.739625 7.823452 12.902471
2026-03-01 0.363073 0.738927 1.402825 2.618473 4.729522 8.162220 14.043403
2026-03-08 0.301934 0.655775 1.315263 2.581705 4.877542 8.755063 15.632814
2026-03-15 0.255684 0.590655 1.247352 2.565741 5.052734 9.402044 17.364746
2026-03-22 0.236039 0.575183 1.269616 2.717644 5.542751 10.630295 20.194450
2026-03-29 0.211637 0.544175 1.255333 2.795085 5.900507 11.655667 22.757613
2026-04-05 0.193635 0.523691 1.258820 2.907058 6.334590 12.856080 25.736000
2026-04-12 0.168398 0.481466 1.210431 2.908003 6.556547 13.697152 28.158529
2026-04-19 0.139949 0.424650 1.119615 2.804037 6.551616 14.104600 29.804351
2026-04-26 0.116171 0.374081 1.033836 2.697118 6.524767 14.462304 31.381549
2026-05-03 0.101554 0.345112 0.994985 2.692019 6.716196 15.274034 33.923033
2026-05-10 0.089535 0.320660 0.963036 2.698185 6.932275 16.154512 36.675993
2026-05-17 0.077548 0.293138 0.917853 2.664243 7.050733 16.837202 39.074415
2026-05-24 0.063654 0.255497 0.837583 2.527192 6.906741 16.935265 40.242249
2026-05-31 0.055186 0.233733 0.798101 2.491610 7.004153 17.574525 42.627152
2026-06-07 0.048462 0.216216 0.767754 2.476160 7.149444 18.334048 45.336830
2026-06-14 0.046714 0.216911 0.793541 2.623238 7.728489 20.145960 50.543497
2026-06-21 0.043288 0.210120 0.794420 2.698228 8.126755 21.565268 54.961734